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Look Under The Hood: VGT Has 11% Upside


Joel Kornblau, Editor, ETF Channel - Thursday, August 14, 2025, 7:10 AM

In an office high in a skyscraper, a monitor with global ETF heat map sits atop a dark solid wood desk, with ETF research printouts and a coffee mug with the words Focus, Plan, Invest, Repeat.

Looking at the underlying holdings of the ETFs in our coverage universe at ETF Channel, we have compared the trading price of each holding against the average analyst 12-month forward target price, and computed the weighted average implied analyst target price for the ETF itself. For the Vanguard Information Technology ETF (VGT), we found that the implied analyst target price for the ETF based upon its underlying holdings is $785.46 per unit.

With VGT trading at a recent price near $707.18 per unit, that means that analysts see 11.07% upside for this ETF looking through to the average analyst targets of the underlying holdings. Three of VGT's underlying holdings with notable upside to their analyst target prices are Cohu Inc (COHU), D-Wave Quantum Inc (QBTS), and Appian Corp (APPN). Although COHU has traded at a recent price of $21.13/share, the average analyst target is 21.86% higher at $25.75/share. Similarly, QBTS has 13.67% upside from the recent share price of $18.65 if the average analyst target price of $21.20/share is reached, and analysts on average are expecting APPN to reach a target price of $33.67/share, which is 13.32% above the recent price of $29.71. Below is a twelve month price history chart comparing the stock performance of COHU, QBTS, and APPN:

COHU, QBTS, and APPN Relative Performance Chart

Below is a summary table of the current analyst target prices discussed above:

Name Symbol Recent Price Avg. Analyst 12-Mo. Target % Upside to Target
Vanguard Information Technology ETF VGT $707.18 $785.46 11.07%
Cohu Inc COHU $21.13 $25.75 21.86%
D-Wave Quantum Inc QBTS $18.65 $21.20 13.67%
Appian Corp APPN $29.71 $33.67 13.32%

Are analysts justified in these targets, or overly optimistic about where these stocks will be trading 12 months from now? Do the analysts have a valid justification for their targets, or are they behind the curve on recent company and industry developments? A high price target relative to a stock's trading price can reflect optimism about the future, but can also be a precursor to target price downgrades if the targets were a relic of the past. These are questions that require further investor research.

The average analyst target price data upon which this article was based, is courtesy of data provided by Zacks Investment Research via Quandl.com.
Get the latest Zacks research report on COHU — FREE
Get the latest Zacks research report on QBTS — FREE
Get the latest Zacks research report on APPN — FREE



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